Premier League Corner Betting Guide
Premier League Corner Betting Guide
To bet successfully on Premier League football you will always need to do a little research. Making the effort to study trends in different markets could make the difference between winning and losing. Once you spot a trend, you can then search for the best odds in that market and place your bets.
Betting on the amount of corners in a game is one area where it can be easy to monitor trends. By looking at the historical corner data for each team, you can predict the total amount of corners that is likely to be produced in that game.
For corner betting it is best to look at the team data for the current season as trends can change as player, managers and tactics are altered. A sample size of at least six games should be used but the larger the sample the better.
Over/ under corner betting market
Bookmakers will often set a benchmark for the amount of corners per game – typically 10.5 but sometimes 10 or 11. Once you have made your own prediction you can then bet on whether the final total will be over or under this benchmark amount.
Example:
If your research shows that more than 60% of team A’s home games and more than 60% of team B’s away games have resulted in more than 10.5 corners – then there is a good chance that the game between team A and team B will produce this result. In this case, you would back over 10.5 corners.
Some betting companies will offer over or under different amounts; so as well as percentages, you can look at the amount of corners each team wins or concedes per game. If both teams have a high corner count you may choose to bet on over 11 or 12 corners. If they both have a low corner count, you may feel that under 9 corners would make a good bet.
When looking at corner statistics for each team, always remember to break the statistics into home and away games to get a true picture of their potential corner count. Also look at how many they concede in home or away games. If a team with a high corner count in away games faces a team that concedes very few at home, they may cancel each other out and produce a moderate corner count.
The trick is to find teams that complement each other with the amount of corners won and conceded home and away. If two teams that have a low overall corner count in their respective home and away matches are going head to head, then you would back that game in the low corner market.
Corner Spread betting
There are various ways that you can use your research to enter the spread betting markets. Bookmakers that offer spread betting will offer several different ways of betting on the amount of corners in a game.
Total corners
This uses the same principle as we looked at above where you decide whether there will be over or under a certain amount of corners in a particular match. The bookmaker will offer a spread which indicates how many corners they predict will be in that match.
Example:
The spread is set at 10-11 (this is how many corners the bookies think will occur in the match). You can now decide to buy or sell based on the spread. If you think there will be more than 11 corners you can buy any corners over that amount. In this case you buy £5 per point at 11.
If there are 13 corners you win (13-11) x £5 = £10
If there is only 9 corners you will lose (9-11) x £5 = -£10
If you think there will be less than 10 corners, you follow the same principle but you sell points instead of buying them.
The spread is set at 10-11. You think there will be less than 10 corners so you sell £5 per point at 10.
If there are 8 corners you win (10-8) x £5 = £10
If there are 14 corners you will lose (10-14) x £5 = -£20
When you are buying, you buy from the top end of the spread and when you sell you sell from the bottom end.
Multi-corners
Multi-corner markets follow the same principle but give you slightly narrower margins to work with. The spread is set by the bookmaker by multiplying the first half corners by the second half corners.
Example:
The spread is set at 26-29 (this is the total the bookies think will be achieved by multiplying the first half corners by the second half corners). You can now decide to buy or sell based on the spread. If you think the result will be higher than 29 you can buy any corners over that amount. In this case you buy £5 per point at 29.
If there are 32 corners you win (32-29) x £5 = £15
If there is only 25 corners you will lose (25-29) x £5 = -£20
If you think there will be less than 26 corners, you follow the same principle but you sell points instead of buying them.
The spread is set at 26-29. You think there will be less than 26 corners so you sell £5 per point at 26.
If there are 22 corners you win (26-22) x £5 = £20
If there are 32 corners you will lose (26-32) x £5 = -£30
As before, when you are buying, you buy from the top end of the spread and when you sell you sell from the bottom end
X-corners
Some spread betting firms will offer X-corners betting. This is similar to multi-corners but the home team’s corner total is multiplied by the away team’s corner total. The bookmakers will set a spread based on this prediction. You then buy and sell points above or below the spread in exactly the same way as you would on multi-corner betting.
Other corner betting
There are other ways of betting on corners such as backing which team will win the first or last corner in a match. You can also bet in-play and choose which team will win the next corner. These kinds of bets can be more risky so always make sure that your research backs up your predictions rather than betting on a whim.
Final tip
If you think you have no chance of beating the bookmakers, think again. Many betting companies set their odds based on the results of fairly simple templates. By doing deep and thorough match by match, team by team research, you will learn to find opportunities that may have been overlooked. Always look for many small margins of advantage rather than going for one big win.